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The signal and the noise : the art and science of prediction /Nate Silver

By: Nate SilverContributor(s): Nate SilverMaterial type: Text

TextPublication details: London : Allen Lane , 2012Description: 534 pages ; 23 cmISBN: 9781846147524Subject(s): ForecastingGenre/Form: Bayesian statistical decision theoryDDC classification: 519.542 SIL

Contents:

A catastrophic failure of prediction -- Are you smarter than a television pundit? -- All I care about is W's and L's -- For years you've been telling us that rain is green -- Desperately seeking signal -- How to frown in three feet of water -- Role models -- Less and less and less wrong -- Rage against the machines -- The poker bubble -- If you can't beat 'em ... -- A climate of healthy skepticism -- What you don't know can hurt you.

Summary: Every time we choose a route to work, decide whether to go on a second date, or set aside money for a rainy day, we are making a prediction about the future -- Yet from the global financial crisis to 9/11 to the Fukushima disaster, we often fail to foresee hugely significant events -- In "The Signal and the Noise", the "New York Times'" political forecaster and statistics guru Nate Silver explores the art of

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Holdings
Item type	Current library	Call number	Status	Date due	Barcode	Item holds
CPACT Library	CPACT Library	519.542 SIL (Browse shelf(Opens below))	Available		CP19

Total holds: 0

A catastrophic failure of prediction --
Are you smarter than a television pundit? --
All I care about is W's and L's --
For years you've been telling us that rain is green --
Desperately seeking signal --
How to frown in three feet of water --
Role models --
Less and less and less wrong --
Rage against the machines --
The poker bubble --
If you can't beat 'em ... --
A climate of healthy skepticism --
What you don't know can hurt you.

Every time we choose a route to work, decide whether to go on a second date, or set aside money for a rainy day, we are making a prediction about the future -- Yet from the global financial crisis to 9/11 to the Fukushima disaster, we often fail to foresee hugely significant events -- In "The Signal and the Noise", the "New York Times'" political forecaster and statistics guru Nate Silver explores the art of

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