000 02653nam a22002297a 4500
005 20181112123917.0
008 181017b xxu||||| |||| 00| 0 eng d
020 _a9780521775014
028 _aSARAS Books
_b;2/31,Ansari Road,Darya Ganj,New Delhi-110002
_c;IN37905
_d;12/10/2018
082 _a160 HAC
100 _aIan Hacking
245 _aAn introduction to probability and inductive logic
_c/Ian Hacking
260 _aCambridge, U.K. ; New York
_b : Cambridge University Press
_c, 2001.
300 _axvii, 302 pages
_b : illustrations
_c; 26 cm
365 _b3007
505 _a Logic -- 1. Logic -- 2. What is inductive logic? -- How to calculate probabilities -- 3. The gambler's fallacy -- 4. Elementary probability ideas -- 5. Conditional probability -- 6. The basic rules of probability -- 7. Bayes' rule -- How to combine probabilities and utilities -- 8. Expected value -- 9. Maximizing expected value -- 10. Decision under uncertainty -- Kinds of probability -- 11. What do you mean? -- 12. Theories about probability -- Probability as a measure of belief -- 13. Personal probabilities -- 14. Coherence -- 15. Learning from experience -- Probability as frequency -- 16. Stability -- 17. Normal approximations -- 18. Significance and power -- 19. Confidence and inductive behavior -- Probability applied to philosophy -- 20. The philosophical problem of induction -- 21. Learning from experience as an evasion of the problem of induction -- 22. Inductive behavior as an evasion of the problem of induction.
520 _a This is an introductory textbook on probability and induction written by one of the world's foremost philosophers of science. The book has been designed to offer maximal accessibility to the widest range of students (not only those majoring in philosophy) and assumes no formal training in elementary symbolic logic. It offers a comprehensive course covering all basic definitions of induction and probability, and considers such topics as decision theory, Bayesianism, frequency ideas, and the philosophical problem of induction. The key features of this book are a lively and vigorous prose style; lucid and systematic organization and presentation of ideas; many practical applications; a rich supply of exercises drawing on examples from such fields as psychology, ecology, economics, bioethics, engineering, and political science; numerous brief historical accounts of how fundamental ideas of probability and induction developed; and a full bibliography of further reading
650 _aProbabilities
655 _aInduction (Logic)
700 _aIan Hacking
942 _cBOOK
999 _c50341
_d50341