000			01901nam a22002297a 4500
005			20260306115505.0
008			260306b |||||||| |||| 00| 0 eng d
020			_a9780241658628
028			_a: Brijwasi Book Distributors _b: H-87, Lalita Park, Laxmi Nagar, Delhi _c: BW/000439 _d: 28/02/2026
082			_a501 SPI
100			_aSpiegelhalter, David.
245			_aThe Art of Uncertainty _b: How to Navigate Chance, Ignorance, Risk and Luck. _c/ David Spiegelhalter.
260			_a, New Zealand _b: Penguin Books _c, 2024.
300			_axiv, 487p. _c: 24cm.
365			_b489
520			_aFrom the UK’s ‘statistical national treasure’, a clever and data-driven guide to how we can live with risk and uncertainty We live in a world where uncertainty is inevitable. How should we deal with what we don’t know? And what role do chance, luck and coincidence play in our lives? David Spiegelhalter has spent his career dissecting data in order to understand risks and assess the chances of what might happen in the future. In The Art of Uncertainty, he gives readers a window onto how we can all do this better. In engaging, crystal-clear prose, he takes us through the principles of probability, showing how it can help us think more analytically about everything from medical advice to pandemics and climate change forecasts, and explores how we can update our beliefs about the future in the face of constantly changing experience. Along the way, he explains why roughly 40% of football results come down to luck rather than talent, how the National Risk Register assesses near-term risks to the United Kingdom, and why we can be so confident that two properly shuffled packs of cards have never, ever been in the exact same order.
650			_a Art of uncertainty
650			_anavigate chance
650			_aRisk and luck
700			_a David Spiegelhalter
942			_cBOOK
999			_c67131 _d67131