Uncertainty (Record no. 50155)

MARC details
000 -LEADER
fixed length control field 03355nam a22002297a 4500
005 - DATE AND TIME OF LATEST TRANSACTION
control field 20180917114457.0
008 - FIXED-LENGTH DATA ELEMENTS--GENERAL INFORMATION
fixed length control field 180917b xxu||||| |||| 00| 0 eng d
020 ## - INTERNATIONAL STANDARD BOOK NUMBER
International Standard Book Number 9783319397559
028 ## - DISTRIBUTOR NAME
Distributor Name Atlantic Publishers & Distributors (P)LTD.
Distributor address ;7/22,Anasri Road, Daryaganj,New Delhi-110002
Bill Number ;1082220
Bill Date ;05/09/2018
082 ## - DEWEY DECIMAL CLASSIFICATION NUMBER
Classification number 511.31 BRI
100 ## - MAIN ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME
Personal name William Briggs
245 ## - TITLE STATEMENT
Title Uncertainty
Remainder of title : the soul of modeling, probability & statistics
Statement of responsibility, etc /William Briggs
260 ## - PUBLICATION, DISTRIBUTION, ETC. (IMPRINT)
Place of publication, distribution, etc Switzerland
Name of publisher, distributor, etc : Springer
Date of publication, distribution, etc , 2016.
300 ## - PHYSICAL DESCRIPTION
Extent xix, 258 pages
Dimensions ;24 cm.
365 ## - TRADE PRICE
Price amount 4115
505 ## - FORMATTED CONTENTS NOTE
Contents note Truth, Argument, Realism --<br/>Logic --<br/>Induction and Intellection --<br/>What Probability Is --<br/>What Probability Is Not --<br/>Chance and Randomness --<br/>Causality --<br/>Probability Models --<br/>Statistical and Physical Models --<br/>Modelling Goals, Strategies, and Mistakes.
520 ## - SUMMARY, ETC.
Summary, etc <br/>This book presents a philosophical approach to probability and probabilistic thinking, considering the underpinnings of probabilistic reasoning and modeling, which effectively underlie everything in data science. The ultimate goal is to call into question many standard tenets and lay the philosophical and probabilistic groundwork and infrastructure for statistical modeling. It is the first book devoted to the philosophy of data aimed at working scientists and calls for a new consideration in the practice of probability and statistics to eliminate what has been referred to as the "Cult of Statistical Significance". The book explains the philosophy of these ideas and not the mathematics, though there are a handful of mathematical examples. The topics are logically laid out, starting with basic philosophy as related to probability, statistics, and science, and stepping through the key probabilistic ideas and concepts, and ending with statistical models. Its jargon-free approach asserts that standard methods, such as out-of-the-box regression, cannot help in discovering cause. This new way of looking at uncertainty ties together disparate fields ℓ́ℓ probability, physics, biology, the ℓ́ℓsoftℓ́ℓ sciences, computer science ℓ́ℓ because each aims at discovering cause (of effects). It broadens the understanding beyond frequentist and Bayesian methods to propose a Third Way of modeling. Presents a complete argument showing why probability should be treated as a part of logic Broadens understanding beyond frequentist and Bayesian methods, proposing a Third Way of modeling Proposes that p-values should die, and along with them, hypothesis testing William M. Briggs, PhD, is Adjunct Professor of Statistics at Cornell University. Having earned both his PhD in Statistics and MSc in Atmospheric Physics from Cornell University, he served as the editor of the American Meteorological Society journal and has published over 60 papers. He studies the philosophy of science, the use and misuses of uncertainty - from truth to modeling. Early in life, he began his career as a cryptologist for the Air Force, then slipped into weather and climate forecasting, and later matured into an epistemologist. Currently, he has a popular, long-running blog on the subjects written about here, with about 70,000 - 90,000 monthly readers.
650 ## - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM
Topical term or geographic name as entry element Mathematics
655 ## - INDEX TERM--GENRE/FORM
Genre/form data or focus term Uncertainty--Mathematical models
Non-focus term Logic
700 ## - ADDED ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME
Personal name William Briggs
942 ## - ADDED ENTRY ELEMENTS (KOHA)
Koha item type Books
Holdings
Withdrawn status Lost status Source of classification or shelving scheme Damaged status Not for loan Home library Current library Date acquired Cost, normal purchase price Total Checkouts Full call number Barcode Date last seen Price effective from Koha item type
    Dewey Decimal Classification   Not For Loan SNU LIBRARY SNU LIBRARY 17/09/2018 4115.00   511.31 BRI 25655 17/09/2018 17/09/2018 Books
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